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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Bologna logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
Bologna

Simy (75')
Coulibaly (26'), Tchaouna (36'), Mazzocchi (39'), Dia (42'), Daniliuc (48'), Gyomber (54'), Kastanos (89')
Fazio (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Bologna

All three of Salernitana's wins in league and cup this season have come at Stadio Arechi, while Bologna are yet to taste success on the road. Despite the disparity between them in the table, a fourth straight draw in this fixture could therefore be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
32.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 25.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 41.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)48.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.038 -0.04)71.01% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)28.23% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.88%
    Bologna 41.53%
    Draw 25.59%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Bologna

Salernitana
10.0%
Draw
26.7%
Bologna
63.3%
30
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
2-2
Bologna
Pirola (7'), Dia (64')
Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Bologna
1-1
Salernitana
Arnautovic (52' pen.)
Dia (88')
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
Gameweek 27
Salernitana
1-1
Bologna
Zortea (72')
Ranieri (7'), Coulibaly (70'), Nicola (74')
Arnautovic (43')
Soriano (59'), Arnautovic (79'), De Silvestri (82')
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bologna
3-2
Salernitana
De Silvestri (59', 77'), Arnautovic (75')
Soriano (41'), Schouten (55'), Bonifazi (87'), Sansone (90+3')
Soriano (50'), Schouten (89')
Bonazzoli (52' pen.), Coulibaly (70')
Strandberg (33'), Jaroszynski (79')
Strandberg (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
19SassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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