Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
31.64% ( -0.99) | 27.07% ( -0.06) | 41.29% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.66% ( -0.04) | 55.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.45% ( -0.03) | 76.56% ( 0.04) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.72% ( -0.71) | 32.29% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.81) | 68.79% ( 0.81) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.61% ( 0.55) | 26.39% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( 0.73) | 61.55% ( -0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.64% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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