Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena
Sweden4 - 1New Zealand
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sweden 5-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Last Game: New Zealand 2-1 China
Sunday, March 26 at 4am in International Friendlies
Sunday, March 26 at 4am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
We said: Sweden 3-0 New Zealand
Sweden will be confident of recording a win to kick off their June international against a New Zealand side who are going through a transitional period under caretaker management. Gyokeres and Isak should be able to get onto the scoresheet at the Friends Arena and give Anderson's men momentum going into their Euro qualifier with Austria next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | New Zealand |
49.16% ( -0.72) | 26.22% ( 0.17) | 24.62% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
