Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
We said: Brest 0-1 Lens
With Lens losing their bite amid a spate of injuries and Brest proving more and more resilient under Roy, a high-scoring affair should be off the cards here, especially with both sides demonstrating an affinity for closely-fought draws.
Haise's side have not been able to replicate their previously brilliant home form on the road, but with Sotoca and Openda both well-rested and raring to go, Haise's men should just about get the job done to maintain their unassailable lead in the podium spots.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Brest | Draw | Lens |
19.07% ( -0.1) | 23.36% ( 0.05) | 57.57% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.32) |
| 49.56% ( -0.34) | 50.44% ( 0.34) |
| 27.63% ( -0.3) | 72.37% ( 0.3) |
| 59.36% ( -0.31) | 40.64% ( 0.31) |
