Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Rennes |
36.81% ( 0.19) | 24.91% ( -0.22) | 38.28% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( 1.02) | 45.25% ( -1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.41% ( 0.97) | 67.59% ( -0.97) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( 0.57) | 24.18% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.49% ( 0.81) | 58.51% ( -0.8) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.48) | 23.4% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% ( 0.69) | 57.39% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |