Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
60.59% ( 0) | 21.74% | 17.67% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.62% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.21% ( 0) | 45.79% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.89% ( 0) | 68.11% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.34% ( 0) | 14.66% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.2% ( 0.01) | 42.8% ( -0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.48% | 39.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.79% | 76.2% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.35% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.58% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |