Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
24.62% | 25.3% | 50.08% |
Both teams to score 50.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% | 52.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% | 73.91% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% | 72.9% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.14% | 20.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.62% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 9.25% 1-3 @ 4.92% 0-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.9% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |