Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Ajaccio |
62.31% ( 0.54) | 22.52% ( -0.2) | 15.16% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 44.12% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.9% ( 0.19) | 53.1% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.32% ( 0.16) | 74.68% ( -0.16) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.43% ( 0.25) | 16.56% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.65% ( 0.45) | 46.34% ( -0.45) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.87% ( -0.36) | 47.12% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.42% ( -0.27) | 82.58% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 15.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |