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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 2
Nantes

Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

We said: Marseille 2-1 Nantes

Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
61.61%22.08%16.31%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57%49.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53%71.47%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64%43.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.4%79.6%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 61.6%
    Nantes 16.31%
    Draw 22.07%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.53%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.63%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
79.3%
Draw
16.9%
Nantes
3.8%
420
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
Aug 17, 2019 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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