Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
43.24% | 27.76% | 29% |
Both teams to score 46.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.72% | 79.28% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% | 26.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.72% | 62.27% |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% | 36.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.18% | 72.82% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.73% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.24% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.95% Total : 29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |