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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Monaco

Montpellier
0 - 2
Monaco


Esteve (11'), Jullien (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Embolo (45+1'), Boadu (80')
Henrique (26'), Badiashile (65'), Camara (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Monaco

Montpellier have the home advantage in this match, and that is something that could prove to be vital for them as they look to start climbing the league table. However, because Monaco are in stronger form at the moment, and are coming off the back of a big victory they will be the favourites to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
23.63% (-0.041 -0.04) 22.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 53.56% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.47% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)42.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.93% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)31.69% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)68.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 23.64%
    Monaco 53.56%
    Draw 22.8%
Montpellier HSCDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 23.64%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 5.23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 53.56%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Monaco

Montpellier HSC
18.5%
Draw
9.2%
Monaco
72.3%
65
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 4.05pm
Montpellier
3-2
Monaco
Wahi (13'), Mavididi (32', 90+1')
Mavididi (90+1'), Sambia (90+1')
Ben Yedder (34'), Vanderson (82')
Henrique (10'), Aguilar (65')
Oct 24, 2021 4pm
Monaco
3-1
Montpellier
Volland (12'), Ben Yedder (17'), Martins (62')
Maripan (24')
Savanier (81' pen.)
Cozza (43'), Ristic (52'), Makouana (66'), Savanier (87')
Jan 15, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
2-3
Monaco
Wahi (64'), Delort (69')
Chotard (83'), Savanier (90')
Volland (24'), Ben Yedder (35', 61')
Fofana (17'), Aguilar (59'), Maripan (88')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Monaco
1-1
Montpellier
Ben Yedder (70' pen.)
Pellegri (73'), Geubbels (90+3')
Mavididi (51')
Souquet (90+5')
Savanier (19')
Feb 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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