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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Monaco

Nantes
2 - 2
Monaco

Mohamed (65'), Blas (78')
Girotto (56'), Corchia (62'), Blas (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Disasi (21'), Matazo (30')
Volland (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Monaco

These two teams have been challenging to read this season, and they have each been streaky at times in 2022-23. That being said, Monaco have looked much sharper and calmer away from home and should be able to exploit a Nantes side who seem to be feeling the pressure of potential relegation at this stage of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMonaco
18.39% (-0.313 -0.31) 21.85% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09) 59.76% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 52.63% (-0.282 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.86% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)45.13% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)67.48% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.7% (-0.403 -0.4)38.3% (0.4 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (-0.389 -0.39)75.06% (0.389 0.39)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.096000000000004 0.1)14.7% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (0.185 0.19)42.89% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 18.39%
    Monaco 59.74%
    Draw 21.85%
NantesDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 5.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.59% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.39%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.85%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.34% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 6.61% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.35% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.17% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.04% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.025 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 59.74%

How you voted: Nantes vs Monaco

Nantes
6.7%
Draw
20.0%
Monaco
73.3%
45
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 4.05pm
Monaco
4-1
Nantes
Embolo (2'), Ben Yedder (6', 28', 62' pen.)
Henrique (79' og.)
Girotto (60')
Mar 2, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
Nantes win 4-2 on penalties
Sidibe (21' og.), Moutoussamy (74')
Maripan (12'), Boadu (76')
Jan 9, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Monaco

Kolo (22')

Diop (72'), Matazo (80')
Aug 6, 2021 8pm
Jan 31, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Monaco
Emond (83')
Appiah (55'), Pallois (73'), Emond (90+2')
Pallois (73')
Maripan (45'), Volland (60')
Diatta (19'), Fofana (29'), Luis (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille321510748311755
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Lyon32145134654-847
8Rennes32129115143845
9Marseille31111194738944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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