Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Reims in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Reims.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Lyon |
39.98% ( -0.81) | 25.61% ( -0.1) | 34.4% ( 0.91) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3% ( 0.65) | 48.69% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.19% ( 0.59) | 70.8% ( -0.59) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( -0.12) | 24.06% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0.17) | 58.33% ( 0.17) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( 0.88) | 27.18% ( -0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( 1.13) | 62.58% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |