Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Pau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paris FC 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 3-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Pau |
42.5% ( -0.02) | 27.05% ( 0) | 30.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
