MX23RW : Monday, May 13 16:34:28| >> :120:24654:24654:
[monks data]
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium MK
Oxford United

MK Dons
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')

Preview: MK Dons vs. Oxford United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both MK Dons and Oxford United will continue their push towards the League One playoff spots when the pair meet at Stadium MK on Saturday afternoon.

The visitors currently sit fifth, boasting a two-point and two-place gap between themselves and their hosts.


Match preview

MK Dons manager Liam Manning celebrates after the game on October 19, 2021© Reuters

A regular in the playoffs of recent seasons, Oxford have never been able to get over the final hurdle and earn promotion to the Championship.

It is now 22 years since Oxford last competed in the second tier of English football, with defeat to Blackpool in last season's playoff semi-final ending their latest pursuit.

That has not deterred manager Karl Robinson from trying once more, with his side looking for their third consecutive top-seven finish.

After a stuttering September that saw Oxford win only one of their five League One matches, the Yellows have recovered in some style, losing only once in their next 10 fixtures.

Oxford's latest triumph came in midweek against strugglers Doncaster Rovers, with a 2-1 victory extending their unbeaten run to seven league matches, while also moving Robinson's team up into the playoff spots.

The side who Oxford replaced were none other than their opponents this weekend, MK Dons, who sat out the midweek round of fixtures.

Should the hosts take three points on Saturday, they will leapfrog Oxford into sixth, with MK Dons dreaming of a return to the Championship.

A second-half Conor Grant equaliser denied MK Dons a statement three points against fellow promotion hopefuls Plymouth Argyle in midweek, with Liam Manning's side eager to bounce back this weekend.

Having lost only once at home in the last nine matches, MK Dons will be confident of taking three points when Oxford visit Stadium MK on Saturday.

If they are to steal a win, MK Dons will have to arrest a mini winless streak starting to emerge against Oxford, as the club are without a win in their previous two meetings from last season.

MK Dons League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

MK Dons form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Oxford United League One form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Oxford United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W



Team News

Troy Parrott will continue to serve the latest match of his three-game suspension this weekend, having been dismissed in the closing stages of MK Dons' EFL Trophy victory over Leyton Orient.

There was a return to the starting XI for Tennai Watson in midweek after he sat out the Orient game, and the defender repaid his manager by popping up with a first-half goal.

Following last month's Covid outbreak at the club, Robinson was pleased to welcome back both Matty Taylor and Mark Sykes to the fold in midweek, with the latter netting in Oxford's 2-1 win over Doncaster

Having started the campaign as second-string goalkeeper, Simon Eastwood will retain his place between the sticks.

MK Dons possible starting lineup:
Fisher; O'Hora, Darling, Lewington; Watson, Robson, McEachran, Harvie; O'Riley, Eisa, Twine

Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Jones; Knoyle, Anderson, Blythe; Hasani, Smith, Galbraith, Horton; Barlow, Rowe, Cukur


SM words green background

We say: MK Dons 1-2 Oxford United

It is unlikely that either of these two sides will break into the automatic promotion spaces, making the playoffs their only viable route out of the division.

MK Dons may be the home side, but Oxford have the experience in recent years, making an away win the most likely outcome.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.


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Game History

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
57.1%
7
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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