Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
45.47% ( -1.41) | 24.96% ( 0.64) | 29.57% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.48% ( -2.38) | 47.52% ( 2.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.28% ( -2.24) | 69.72% ( 2.25) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( -1.57) | 20.94% ( 1.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.32% ( -2.51) | 53.68% ( 2.52) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.26% ( -0.66) | 29.74% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.19% ( -0.81) | 65.81% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |