Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 70.64%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
70.64% ( 0.09) | 17.36% ( -0.04) | 12% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.18% ( 0.06) | 37.82% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.93% ( 0.06) | 60.07% ( -0.06) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.46% ( 0.04) | 9.54% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.05% ( 0.08) | 31.95% ( -0.09) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.62% ( -0.05) | 42.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.24% ( -0.04) | 78.76% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.07% Total : 70.64% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.36% Total : 12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |