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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 22, 2022 at 12.20am UK
Nippert Stadium
New England Revolution

Cincinnati
2 - 3
New England

Vazquez (26'), Barreal (58')
Nwobodo (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lletget (17'), Buksa (43'), McNamara (89')
Rivera (5'), Boateng (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Kansas vs. New England
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-3 New England Revolution

Both of these teams like to play a wide-open style of football while being quick in transition, so there should be many glorious scoring chances on either end, with each possessing more than enough quality to bury those opportunities. The Revs should have a slight edge because their midfielders are more multi-faceted, plus New England have experienced a lot more of these close, high-scoring games and usually find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for New England Revolution in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New England Revolution.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
38% (-0.759 -0.76) 23.93% (-0.422 -0.42) 38.07% (1.174 1.17)
Both teams to score 61.76% (1.626 1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (2.096 2.1)40.49% (-2.104 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (2.121 2.12)62.86% (-2.129 -2.13)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.547 0.55)21.42% (-0.554 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (0.84 0.84)54.43% (-0.848 -0.85)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (1.528 1.53)21.39% (-1.537 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (2.311 2.31)54.38% (-2.318 -2.32)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 38%
    New England Revolution 38.07%
    Draw 23.92%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.575 -0.58)
2-0 @ 5.44% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.195 0.2)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.354 -0.35)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.251 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.245 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.118 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.167 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.148 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.07%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs New England

FC Cincinnati
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
New England Revolution
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2021 1am
New England
4-1
Cincinnati
Buchanan (7'), Boateng (21'), Buksa (33', 61')
McNamara (68'), Buchanan (73'), Farrell (86')
Brenner (54')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Cincinnati
0-1
New England

Stanko (9'), Kubo (69')
Buksa (70')
Buchanan (33'), Kessler (66')
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Apr 12, 2020 12.30am
Jul 21, 2019 11pm
Cincinnati
0-2
New England

Cruz (54')
Gil (9'), Delamea Mlinar (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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