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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aaronson (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati fans are sick of the sight of stalemates now, but most would most likely accept a draw versus the Eastern Conference leaders, whose penchant for goals should become apparent here. Carving their way through a leaky Orange and Blue backline should be an easy ask for the Union, who also have the defensive nous to end the hosts' unbeaten run at the TQL Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
36.03% (0.067 0.07) 25.46% (0.155 0.16) 38.51% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.696 -0.7)47.8% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (-0.645 -0.65)69.99% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.286 -0.29)25.8% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.389 -0.39)60.75% (0.387 0.39)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)24.43% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (-0.615 -0.62)58.86% (0.613 0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 36.03%
    Philadelphia Union 38.51%
    Draw 25.45%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.51%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
Philadelphia Union
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Cincinnati
Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Oct 10, 2021 1am
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Cincinnati
Ilsinho (59'), Bedoya (73'), Elliott (80')
Bedoya (40'), McKenzie (66'), Mbaizo (90+3')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Philadelphia

Gyau (19'), Waston (47'), Medunjanin (63'), Amaya (90+4')

Bedoya (60'), Przybylko (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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