Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
61.57% ( 0.25) | 20.77% ( -0.07) | 17.65% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.52% ( -0.02) | 41.47% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.12% ( -0.02) | 63.87% ( 0.02) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.03% ( 0.07) | 12.97% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.54% ( 0.14) | 39.46% ( -0.14) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.23) | 36.96% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( -0.23) | 73.75% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
2-0 @ 10% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.58% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 17.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |