Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
