Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dallas | 20 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Minnesota United | 20 | 2 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 2 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
9 | Toronto | 20 | -12 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 18 | -15 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
59.25% ( -1.16) | 22.44% ( 0.68) | 18.31% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -1.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% ( -2.12) | 47.74% ( 2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% ( -1.99) | 69.93% ( 2) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.25% ( -1.09) | 15.75% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.14% ( -2.06) | 44.86% ( 2.06) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.08% ( -0.69) | 39.92% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.42% ( -0.64) | 76.58% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | DC United |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.22% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |