We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Real Salt Lake
Minnesota were dumped out of the Open Cup in midweek by Houston but were playing with 10 men for the majority of the contest - Heath's side will be desperate to respond with a league win on Saturday.
Real Salt Lake's travels continue after successive wins at Colorado, and we believe the effects of their busy timetable will lead to a less-than-optimal performance in Saint Paul.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.