Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Montreal Impact win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.