Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Charlotte FC |
60.35% ( 0.18) | 21.23% ( -0.08) | 18.42% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.68% ( 0.22) | 42.31% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.28% ( 0.22) | 64.72% ( -0.22) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( 0.12) | 13.6% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.27% ( 0.25) | 40.73% ( -0.25) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.39% ( 0.02) | 36.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.61% ( 0.02) | 73.39% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Charlotte FC |
2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 60.35% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 18.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |