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New York City
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
DC United

NY City
2 - 0
DC United

Rodriguez (20'), Fernandez (90+1')
Bakrar (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Akinmboni (34'), Bartlett (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 2-0 New England
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Orlando City
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 2-1 DC United

New York should have a lot more confidence following their performance last weekend, and we believe their overall individual quality will be able to outlast a DC side, who have looked better than their recent results suggest, but without Klich, may have difficulty unlocking the opposing backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawDC United
58.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52% (-0.061 -0.06)48% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.83% (-0.055 -0.05)70.17% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.98% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)39.76% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.073 -0.07)76.43% (0.074000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.82%
    DC United 18.58%
    Draw 22.59%
New York City FCDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.68% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.59%
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.58%

How you voted: NY City vs DC United

New York City FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
DC United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-0
NY City
Klich (45'), Durkin (62')
Birnbaum (45+1'), Canouse (67'), Klich (90+2')

O'Toole (74'), Perea (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
May 19, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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