Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | New York City FC | 31 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | -10 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 5 | 41 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Chicago Fire | 31 | -9 | 35 |
7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -11 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result | ||
Orlando City | Draw | Toronto |
55.01% ( -1.81) | 22.66% ( 0.46) | 22.32% ( 1.34) |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% ( -0.42) | 43.36% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.24% ( -0.42) | 65.76% ( 0.41) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.34% ( -0.74) | 15.66% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.31% ( -1.4) | 44.69% ( 1.4) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.69% ( 1.02) | 33.31% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.07% ( 1.11) | 69.92% ( -1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Orlando City | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.6% Total : 55.02% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.31% Total : 22.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |