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Atlanta United
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Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
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Nashville
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Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
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St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
Toronto FC

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Torres (9'), Kara (22'), MacNaughton (47' og.), Akindele (84')
Moutinho (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Criscito (32'), MacNaughton (82'), Bernardeschi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Atlanta
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.55pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Toronto

There may be more clinical finishers on the TFC side when compared to Orlando, but Toronto leave too many gaps in their third of the field and rely a little too heavily on their Italians to carry them through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
55.01% (-1.806 -1.81) 22.66% (0.464 0.46) 22.32% (1.338 1.34)
Both teams to score 56.25% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63% (-0.42 -0.42)43.36% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (-0.416 -0.42)65.76% (0.41200000000001 0.41)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.74499999999999 -0.74)15.66% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-1.399 -1.4)44.69% (1.396 1.4)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (1.02 1.02)33.31% (-1.022 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (1.106 1.11)69.92% (-1.109 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 55.02%
    Toronto 22.32%
    Draw 22.66%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.275 0.28)
0-1 @ 5.73% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.157 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 22.32%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto

Orlando City
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
Toronto
42.9%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 8pm
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76'), Bradley (84')
Nani (77' pen.)
Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
May 23, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle123451514113
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
12Dallas113261216-411
13Portland TimbersPortland122462125-410
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


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