We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Toronto
Toronto have put together a nice run of late and are showing definite improvement, but playing in the altitude of Salt Lake City against a side who have done a great job of making in-game adjustments will be a lot to handle.
The Reds have not won a game there since 2007, and we expect that streak will continue this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.