Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
34.25% ( -0.05) | 23.01% ( -0.02) | 42.73% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 64.66% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( 0.07) | 36.49% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.36% ( 0.08) | 58.63% ( -0.08) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% ( 0.01) | 21.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.42% ( 0.01) | 54.58% ( -0.02) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% ( 0.05) | 17.61% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% ( 0.09) | 48.19% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.62% Total : 34.25% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.02% Total : 42.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |