Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 2.30am UK
CityPark
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result |
St Louis City | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
45.22% ( -0.2) | 24.55% ( 0.22) | 30.23% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.76) |
54.62% ( -0.99) | 45.38% ( 0.99) |
32.28% ( -0.95) | 67.71% ( 0.95) |
79.83% ( -0.49) | 20.17% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.54% ( -0.78) | 52.46% ( 0.79) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
71.79% ( -0.51) | 28.21% ( 0.51) |