Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
46.45% | 23.14% | 30.41% |
Both teams to score 62.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.29% | 38.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.98% | 61.02% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% | 17.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.84% | 47.16% |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.22% | 24.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.64% | 59.36% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-0 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.18% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |