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Major League Soccer
Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
San Jose Earthquakes

Toronto
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Seattle
Sunday, July 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

These two sides have plenty of similarities when it comes to quality in the attacking third, with each allowing their opponents to fire at will in their own penalty area. Home field could be the deciding factor in this one, and because of that we are giving the Reds a slight edge, having won all five of their regular season contests at BMO Field, while the Goonies have yet to win on the road, failing to score on five occasions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
43.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 32.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)62.05% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57%18.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.59%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.0039999999999907 0)23.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)58.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.91%
    San Jose Earthquakes 32.53%
    Draw 23.55%
TorontoDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 43.91%
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Toronto vs Earthquakes

Toronto
73.1%
Draw
15.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')
Jul 17, 2016 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-1
Toronto
Obina Amarikwa (30'), Dawkins (70')
Alashe (33')
Godoy (42'), Quintero (53')
Morrow (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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