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Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2022 at 9pm UK
Saputo Stadium
Orlando City

Montreal
4 - 1
Orlando City

Waterman (21'), Mihailovic (52'), Torres (81'), Brault-Guillard (84')
Waterman (24'), Mihailovic (42'), Quioto (55'), Piette (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moutinho (72')
Kara (68'), Williams (89')

Preview: CF Montreal vs. Orlando City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With a win or draw on Saturday versus Orlando City at Saputo Stadium, CF Montreal would set a new record for the longest unbeaten run in franchise history since joining Major League Soccer in 2012.

A goal eight minutes from the end increased the Montreal undefeated streak to six games domestically, while the Lions have won three of their last four MLS affairs, defeating Charlotte FC 2-1 on Saturday.


Match preview

CF Montreal players leave the pitch after the match against Cruz Azul at Olympic Stadium on March 16, 2022© Reuters

It is essential to remain patient and trust the process in a lengthy campaign, and CF Montreal are living proof of what you can achieve with that mentality.

Wilfried Nancy saw his team begin 2022 poorly, losing their opening three games, with only a single point in their first four.

Since the middle of March, though, these players have shown plenty of resiliency, claiming 14 points in their previous six domestic fixtures, despite conceding the opener four times.

At the moment, Montreal seem to have found their rhythm, scoring timely goals and maintaining their composure at the back when leading.

After squandering a half-time lead to the Philadelphia Union in their second match of the year, they have done a much better job at holding their positions when ahead, having moved up to fourth place in the Eastern Conference.

When Montreal can tally multiple times in a game, they rarely wind up empty-handed, unbeaten since October 2020 when scoring more than once.

Orlando City forward Ercan Kara (9) celebrates with Orlando City forward Alexandre Pato (7) after an assists goal in the second half against the Chicago Fire at Orlando City Stadium on April 9, 2022© Reuters

Less than a week after a poor showing at home to the New York Red Bulls, Oscar Pareja saw a better effort from his side against Charlotte, though there are still some things within this squad that need fixing.

While Pareja did not have any complaints about their first-half performance on Saturday, he was not pleased with the effort his players showed in the second 45 minutes, as they lacked a lot of attacking intensity to put that fixture out of reach.

The Lions have yet to lose in 2022 when tallying first, outscoring Montreal 4-0 over their previous two outings, including a 2-0 win against them to start the year.

They have not lost at Saputo Stadium since 2018, capturing three points in each of their last three visits there and outscoring the Montrealers 6-0 over that stretch.

Following a defeat, Orlando have usually had been able to answer with a solid bounce-back game, failing to lose consecutive domestic fixtures since the fall of 2021 when they dropped four straight contests from September 10- 25.

This team have not done enough to hurt their standing in the Eastern Conference, though they have not helped their chances much either, as their last winning streak of more than two games dates back to June 2021.

CF Montreal Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Orlando City Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Orlando City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

CF Montreal head coach Wilfried Nancy during the second half against FC Cincinnati at TQL Stadium on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Kamal Miller was a key contributor for Montreal in their victory last weekend, scoring the opener after four minutes before assisting on the winner by Joaquin Torres late in the second half.

Djordje Mihailovic assisted on their opening goal against Atlanta, his fourth of the year and 20th since joining the club, becoming only the sixth player in franchise history to achieve that feat, while Victor Wanyama hit 5,000 minutes played in MLS.

Wanyama and Ismael Kone will not be available for this encounter because of yellow card accumulation, Mason Toye has an adductor injury and Bjorn Johnsen is still recovering from a foot problem.

Antonio Carlos and Tesho Akindele missed another match for Orlando last weekend with left and right thigh injuries, respectively, while Robin Jansson recorded his 100th appearance for the Lions across all competitions, though he will not be in the lineup this weekend after receiving another caution.

Mauricio Pereyra picked up his 27th career assist for Orlando in their victory last Saturday, setting a club record in the process, while Facundo Torres netted the game-winner, his second of the campaign, and Benji Michel picked up a secondary assist on the opening goal by Ruan.

Pedro Gallese is tied with Gabriel Slonina of the Chicago Fire for clean sheets this season with five and has not conceded in his previous two matches versus Montreal, while also not allowing a goal in his last two games played at Saputo Stadium.

The Lions made a move before the end of the MLS Primary Transfer Window, bringing in Jake Mulraney from Atlanta United in exchange for up to $275,000 in General Allocation Money.

CF Montreal possible starting lineup:
Breza; Waterman, Camacho, Miller; Johnston, Piette, Brault-Guillard, Lappalainen; J. Torres, Mihailovic; Quioto

Orlando City possible starting lineup:
Gallese; Ruan, Schlegel, Smith, Moutinho; Urso, Mendez; F. Torres, Pereyra, Michel; Pato


SM words green background

We say: CF Montreal 1-1 Orlando City

Montreal have plenty of momentum heading into this encounter, though they have struggled in previous fixtures against the Lions, winning only once in their last six meetings.

Given how well each team defend without the ball, we expect there will be little time or space for the creative players on each side to make some magic happen, and there is unlikely to be a lot of chances at either end of the field.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Montreal vs Orlando City

CF Montreal
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Orlando City
20.0%
10
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New York Red Bulls midfielder Omir Fernandez (21) celebrates after scoring a goal against the CF Montreal in the first half at Red Bull Arena on April 9, 2022
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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