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Morocco national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
 
Congo DR national football team

Morocco
4 - 1
Congo DR

Ounahi (21', 54'), Tissoudali (45+7'), Hakimi (69')
Amrabat (25'), Boufal (90+3'), Amallah (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Malango (77')
Amale (58'), Kayembe (75'), Tisserand (79')

Preview: Morocco vs. Congo DR - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With just 90 minutes of action separating the sides from a place in the 2022 FIFA World Cup, Morocco and Congo DR go head-to-head at the Stade Mohamed V on Tuesday.

The tie remains firmly in the balance off the back of a stalemate in the first leg last time out and there is still a lot to play for in Casablanca.


Match preview

Morocco's Sofiane Boufal celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 30, 2022© Reuters

Morocco played out a 1-1 draw against Congo DR in the sides' meeting at Stade des Martyrs on Friday.

Vahid Halilhodzic's men fell behind to Yoane Wissa's 12th-minute opener before restoring parity through Tarik Tissoudali half an hour into the second period.

Despite not being at their best on the day, the Atlas Lions could have come away with a crucial victory had Ryan Mmaee held his nerve from 12 yards nine minutes after the restart.

Nonetheless, the North Africans currently lead the tie on away goals and are in the driving seat heading into the second leg.

Having won each of the last 10 outings on their own patch, Tuesday's hosts are huge favourites to emerge triumphant and book a ticket to Qatar.

Congo have every reason to be proud of their first-leg performance, as they pushed their more illustrious opponents all the way.

Hector Cuper's men restricted Morocco to no efforts on target in the opening 45 minutes and just one all-game long which was the equaliser.

The Leopards will need to be near-perfect once again if they are to feature at November's global showpiece for the first time since 1974.

Their record away from home is a cause for concern, as Tuesday's visitors have won just one of their last five matches on the road.

Morocco World Cup Qualifying - Africa form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Morocco form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D

Congo DR World Cup Qualifying - Africa form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Congo DR form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Congo DR's Glody Ngonda was sent off for two bookable offences last time out and the 27-year-old is suspended for Tuesday's clash.

Defender Merveille Bokadi is expected to come into the starting XI for his 27th international cap as a result of Ngonda's unavailability.

Morocco's Tarik Tissoudali could get the nod right from the off this time around after coming off the bench to good effect last time out.

Youssef En Nesyri has now gone 13 games without a goal for club and country, but the Sevilla man is expected to lead the line once again.

Morocco possible starting lineup:
Bono; Aguerd, Saiss, Mmaee; Masina, Hakimi, Louza, Amrabat, Amallah; En Nesyri, El Kaabi

Congo DR possible starting lineup:
Kiassumbua; Amale, Luyindama, Mbemba, Bokadi; Akolo, Kayembe, Bastien, Wissa; Bakambu, Mbokani


SM words green background

We say: Morocco 2-0 Congo DR

Given Morocco's impeccable form on their own turf, it is hard to envisage any other outcome than a home victory. We are tipping the hosts to get the better of their visitors and confirm their place at the World Cup.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Morocco vs Congo DR

Morocco
74.3%
Draw
14.9%
Congo DR
10.9%
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