Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Chester FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AFC Telford United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Alfreton Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Banbury United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Chester
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Buxton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Chester FC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Chorley | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
37.61% ( 0.3) | 26.81% ( -0.17) | 35.58% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% ( 0.68) | 53.6% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% ( 0.57) | 75.1% ( -0.57) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% ( 0.5) | 27.62% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% ( 0.64) | 63.15% ( -0.64) |
Chester FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( 0.25) | 28.83% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% ( 0.31) | 64.68% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Alfreton Town 37.61%
Chester FC 35.58%
Draw 26.8%
Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.58% |
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-07 13:06:20
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
> National League North Full Table |
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