National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford0 - 1Chorley
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hazlehurst (16')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-4 Hereford
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-4 Chorley
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
41.12% ( 0.43) | 25.8% ( -0.09) | 33.08% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% ( 0.32) | 49.8% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( 0.29) | 71.81% ( -0.29) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% ( 0.36) | 23.97% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% ( 0.52) | 58.21% ( -0.51) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% ( -0.05) | 28.54% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( -0.07) | 64.33% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United 41.12%
Chorley 33.08%
Draw 25.8%
Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.12% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.08% |
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-09 07:33:32
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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