Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.