Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 11.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.
Result | ||
Boreham Wood | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
71.77% ( 7.47) | 16.99% ( -3.2) | 11.24% ( -4.28) |
Both teams to score 50.81% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.8% ( 4.64) | 38.2% ( -4.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% ( 4.77) | 60.47% ( -4.77) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( 3.23) | 9.37% ( -3.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.44% ( 7.15) | 31.56% ( -7.16) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.07% ( -3.51) | 43.93% ( 3.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.93% ( -3.03) | 80.06% ( 3.03) |
Score Analysis |
Boreham Wood | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 9.11% ( 1.56) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.66) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( 1.48) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.9) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.93) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.45) Other @ 4.01% Total : 71.76% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( -1.54) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.99% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -1.23) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -1.03) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.7) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.4) Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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