Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 71.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
71.61% ( -0.04) | 17.28% ( 0.02) | 11.11% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.02% ( -0.02) | 39.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.65% ( -0.02) | 62.34% ( 0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.12% ( -0.01) | 9.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.27% ( -0.03) | 32.73% ( 0.04) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.65% ( 0.02) | 45.35% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.79% ( 0.02) | 81.21% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Maidenhead United |
2-0 @ 12% 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 71.6% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.28% | 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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