Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.