Bulgaria

1 - 1

N. Macedonia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.