Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.