Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.