MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:57:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Larne
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
4 - 1
Crusaders

Bonis (9', 35'), Millar (14'), O'Neill (19')
Bolger (48'), Gordon (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Lowry (90+2')
Barr (63')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Larne
Friday, October 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 0-2 Crusaders
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCrusaders
45.69% (1.775 1.78) 26.4% (-0.154 -0.15) 27.91% (-1.619 -1.62)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.511 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.72% (-0.196 -0.2)54.28% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.164 -0.16)75.67% (0.166 0.17)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.773 0.77)23.7% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (1.102 1.1)57.82% (-1.099 -1.1)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-1.345 -1.35)34.5% (1.347 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-1.459 -1.46)71.22% (1.461 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Larne 45.69%
    Crusaders 27.91%
    Draw 26.39%
LarneDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.91%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Crusaders
1-1
Larne
Lowry (65')
(45+1'), Joe Burns (51'), Forsythe (57')
Millar (80')
Cosgrove (39'), Randall (57'), Bonis (90+3')
Randall (59')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Crusaders
1-2
Larne
Wilson (89')
McDaid (59', 72')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Larne
1-2
Crusaders
Jarvis (74')
(45'), (59'), (66')
Larmour (68'), Lecky (82')
(59'), (86')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Larne
1-0
Crusaders
Lynch (77')
Herron (22'), Sule (24'), Hale (90+4')

Wilson (12'), Joe Burns (28'), Heatley (52')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Crusaders
1-0
Larne
Lecky (16')
McMurray (13'), Joe Burns (13'), Robinson (61'), Lecky (72'), Larmour (73')

Mitchell (13'), Bolger (61'), Randall (66'), McDaid (73'), Cosgrove (88'), Hughes (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1382327131426
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena148062015524
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon147251913623
4CliftonvilleCliftonville136341714321
5GlentoranGlentoran146351512321
6CrusadersCrusaders126241512320
7ColeraineColeraine145451919019
8PortadownPortadown135351716118
9LarneLarne10433119215
10GlenavonGlenavon143651116-515
11Carrick RangersCarrick133281324-1111
12Loughgall1422101435-218


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!