MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 06:58:25| >> :600:4360488:4360488:
[monks data]
Brescia logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 25, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Parma logo

Brescia
1 - 2
Parma

Dessena (62')
Torregrossa (20'), Dessena (29'), Mateju (45'), Papetti (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darmian (59'), Kulusevski (81')

Preview: Brescia vs. Parma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A fixture between Brescia and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Parma square off against already-relegated Brescia on Saturday afternoon with fresh hope of ending the season in the top half of the Serie A standings.

Meanwhile, the away defeat to Lecce in midweek has condemned the home side to a return to the second tier after just one campaign back in the top flight.


Match preview

Parma boss Roberto D'Aversa pictured in September 2018© Reuters

After suffering six defeats in seven outings, Parma boss Roberto D'Aversa would have been forgiven for thinking that his players would struggle to get the better of an in-form Napoli side on Wednesday evening.

However, in a fixture which featured three penalties, Parma prevailed by a 2-1 scoreline with the decisive strike coming just three minutes from time.

The goal from Dejan Kulusevski, his eighth of the season, has moved his team from 13th spot to 10th, just five points adrift of a Sassuolo outfit who are beginning to falter.

Reaching that target is probably unrealistic now that just three fixtures remain on the schedule, and Parma will no doubt be satisfied with enjoying their best campaign since 2013-14.

Nevertheless, with games to come against Brescia and Lecce, D'Aversa will acknowledge that there is a window of opportunity to further improve on what has already been a solid 11 months.

From Brescia's perspective, they will be ready for the season to end after having their relegation back to Serie A confirmed in midweek.

Although the home side have recorded more points than their next opponents over the past six matches, a fourth defeat in sixth has left 17th-placed Genoa out of their reach.

With eight points separating them to Lecce and a five-point advantage being held over last-placed SPAL, Diego Lopez will naturally feel that 19th place is a near certainty regardless of their efforts in their remaining matches.

However, braced for life without star man Sandro Tonali, it gives Lopez a chance to take a look at players who can help I Biancazzurri get back into Serie A as soon as possible.

Brescia Serie A form: WLLLWL

Parma Serie A form: LLDLLW


Team News

Brescia midfielder Sandro Tonali pictured in October 2019© Reuters

With Brescia relying on the funds generated from Tonali's sale in the summer, the midfielder may be rested for this contest.

That could result in Birkir Bjarnason being provided with a start, while Ales Mateju is in contention to replace Andrea Papetti at the back.

Kulusevski is expected to come back into the Parma XI after beginning the last game as a substitute.

Roberto Inglese may also be handed a recall, potentially as a replacement for Gianluca Caprari.

Brescia possible starting lineup:
Joronen; Sabelli, Mateju, Chancellor, Mangraviti; Zmrhal, Bjarnason, Dessena, Martella; Torregrossa, Donnarumma

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Darmian, Dermaku, Alves, Pezzella; Kulusevski, Brugman, Grassi, Kurtic, Karamoh; Inglese


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Brescia 1-3 Parma

With Parma now back on track, we must go with the away side this weekend. While Brescia will want to confirm 19th spot as soon as possible, we cannot see them being able to raise their game to earn anything from this contest.



ID:407632: cacheID:407632:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:6507:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Inter Milan players celebrate with Ashley Young after he scored their opening goal in a win over Brescia
Read Next:
Wednesday's Serie A predictions including Inter Milan vs. Fiorentina
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Parma362111464333174
2Como36218757391871
3VeneziaVenezia36207966432367
4Cremonese36189946311563
5CatanzaroCatanzaro361791058461260
6Palermo361410125951852
7Sampdoria36149134949049
8Brescia361115104037348
9SudtirolSudtirol361210144445-146
10Reggiana361016103743-646
11Cosenza CalcioCosenza361112134439545
12Pisa361112134850-245
13Cittadella361112133943-445
14Modena36916113845-743
15SpeziaSpezia36816123246-1440
16AscoliAscoli36813153439-537
17Ternana36910174150-937
18BariBari36716133548-1337
19FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo3689194362-1933
20Lecco3668223267-3526


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!