Premier League | Gameweek 30
Mar 19, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa0 - 1Arsenal
The Match
Team News
Bernd Leno and Emile Smith Rowe start for Arsenal in Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa at Villa Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Everton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester United | 38 | 0 | 58 |
We said: Aston Villa 1-2 Arsenal
While Villa will aim to take advantage of Arsenal's jellied legs and hit to the confidence, a few more injury concerns - especially to lynchpin Luiz - is hardly ideal for the hosts. Villa Park has not been a happy hunting ground for the Gunners in recent times, but Villa are still lacking that little bit of consistency under Gerrard, and we think Arteta's side have what it takes to shade a close contest and consolidate their hold on fourth spot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
| 30.06% | 25.47% | 44.47% |
| Both teams to score 54.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
