Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
23.46% | 23.74% | 52.79% |
Both teams to score 54.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.14% | 46.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.11% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% | 70.91% |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.29% | 17.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.63% | 48.36% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 6.5% 2-1 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.18% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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