Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.7% ( -0.02) | 25.37% ( -0) | 31.93% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( 0.02) | 48.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( 0.02) | 70.41% ( -0.02) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.47% | 22.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.9% ( -0) | 56.1% ( 0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( 0.03) | 28.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( 0.04) | 64.29% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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