Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
51.69% ( 0.13) | 24.33% ( -0.06) | 23.97% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 52.84% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( 0.16) | 48.85% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.05% ( 0.15) | 70.94% ( -0.16) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.11% ( 0.11) | 18.88% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.64% ( 0.19) | 50.35% ( -0.2) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( 0.02) | 34.85% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% ( 0.02) | 71.59% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 23.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
2 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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