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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Brighton logo

Newcastle
vs.
Brighton

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Newcastle
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 24.93% and a draw has a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.3%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
55.58% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 19.49% (-0.073 -0.07) 24.93% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 71.5% (0.28800000000001 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.98% (0.36 0.36)25.02% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.06% (0.46899999999999 0.47)44.94% (-0.467 -0.47)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57% (0.136 0.14)9.43% (-0.1341 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.3% (0.313 0.31)31.7% (-0.311 -0.31)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (0.2 0.2)21.06% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (0.311 0.31)53.86% (-0.307 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 55.58%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 24.93%
    Draw 19.49%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 5.29% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.69% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 3.12% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 1.89% (0.023 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.62% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.47% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 55.58%
1-1 @ 7.3% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 2.75% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.49%
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.93%

Who will win Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle and Brighton?

Newcastle United
Draw
Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United
100%
Draw
0.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
Ferguson (27', 65', 70')
Lamptey (83'), Milner (86'), Dahoud (90+5'), Lallana (90+8')
Wilson (90+2')
Gordon (23'), Schar (43'), Targett (68'), Burn (76')
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Brighton
1-2
Newcastle
Anderson (86', 90')
Guimaraes (30'), Pope (74')
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Newcastle
4-1
Brighton
Undav (22' og.), Burn (45+4'), Wilson (89'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Guimaraes (30'), Schar (45+3')
Undav (51')
Undav (45+2'), Gross (57'), Mac Allister (64'), Paul van Hecke (80')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Mac Allister (34'), March (58')
Saint-Maximin (22'), Joelinton (58'), Schar (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
2-1
Brighton
Fraser (12'), Schar (14')
Joelinton (87')
Dunk (55')
Duffy (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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